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Estimate the intrinsic fair value of any company using discounted cash flow analysis

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Industrials | Railroads

Today's Price

$269.63

Today's Fair Value

$235.40 -12.7%

Margin of Safety

-14.54%

Projected Value (5Y)

$379.11 +40.6%

Dividends Paid (5Y)

$34.58

Scenario

Valuation Metric

Years To Project

Operating Income Growth Rate

Regression: 2.68% | CAGR (5y): 4.66%

Diluted Shares Growth Rate

Regression: -3.96% | CAGR (5y): -2.66%

Dividend Growth Rate

Regression: 11.84% | CAGR (5y): 6.39%

Exit Price Multiple

Capped at 18.00x (Historical 5y: 14.72x)

Discount Rate