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Estimate the intrinsic fair value of any company using discounted cash flow analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Basic Materials | Agricultural Inputs

Today's Price

$122.64

Today's Fair Value

$138.61 +13.02%

Margin of Safety

+11.52%

Projected Value (5Y)

$223.24 +82.03%

Dividends Paid (5Y)

$13.78

Scenario

Valuation Metric

Years To Project

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate

Regression: 10.47% | CAGR (5y): 14.33%

Diluted Shares Growth Rate

Regression: -3.36% | CAGR (5y): -5.49%

Dividend Growth Rate

Regression: 11.12% | CAGR (5y): 11.84%

Exit Price Multiple

Capped at 30.00x (Historical 5y: 7.93x)

Discount Rate